What do you think will happen to Japan in the future?
everyone knows that the Japanese population is aging and alot of people in Japan are against mass immigration( i mean who wouldn't be?). do you see the Japanese birth rate rising sometime in the future? ( i think the Japanese government should start giving out allowances for people who have kids [ if they haven't already] to make raising a child in one of the most expensive countries in the world easier) do you see the imports of workers(mainly nurses) from countries like Indonesia, Korea, China, etc.? do you think that one day Japan will become multicultural? how do you think Japan will deal with it & what do you think the solution should be?
Japan - 6 Answers
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1 :
I believe that Japan will follow the German model. That a person who comes over will not be an immigrant, but a guest worker. And that these people will not be allowed to become citizens. I would also not be surprised if there was a time limit placed on how long they can stay, I think that Japan had lost enough of it's culture to outside influences, and they will not wish to lose any more.
2 :
Giving out child allowances won't solve the problem. Japan has been raising children just fine for the last 100 years, no doubt why it has the 10th largest population in the world. It is not about the money. The infrastructure needs to be changed if you want change. Japan has long working hours, more companies need allow maternity leave and support, more day care centers need to be built, finding a day care in Japan has a waiting list a hundred miles long. Women are more independent and putting off marriage until later in life as well. Japan has started allowing nurses from Indonesia come in, Japan has allowed nurses from the Philippines come to Japan for some while now. As the population ages, they might allow more nurses. There is no clear cut solution on solving the slow birth rate, if infrastructure and the environment is changed then you might see a change, but just handing out money isn't going to solve the problem.
3 :
Japanese population won't be back to the past high peak level. It was unusually too much for the limited land space. On the contrary, it will be becoming more reasonable population around 60 millions or so in next century as same as about 100 years ago. Because of the high technology influenced on the secondary industry there, Japan has no longer to need a lot of blue colored and white colored labors there. In addition, It declares the renunciation of war. The country doesn't need to grow its number of self-diffenced armies either. Importing nurse/care giver from Asian countries won't work at all because the condition requires native level Japanese skill, that is tottaly bullshit and the payment is not so attaractive against the restricted possible labors. Decreasing population will help not to exhaust their limited natural resource in short. Japanese may have serious difficulties on their social security near future, but it means wise and strong always gets its own survival of the fittest in the world. Japan won't want to be the police or dictator of the world. It will be just a calm, medium, matured, intellectual and ethnic-homogenious country in Asia.
4 :
The government has already given money to families with kids. I got about 50,000 yen ($500) for my two kids. And there are at least plans for future payments. Don't know if that will actually happen. You can't contribute to over population just to ensure that you have someone to pay for the elderly. IMHO, you bite the bullet, do what must be done to solve that problem and try to have a lower population overall. As for the import of workers, I don't see them using foreigners for that kind of work. Native speakers are going to get those jobs.
5 :
>do you see the Japanese birth rate rising sometime in the future? You need to think about the difference between birth "rate" and birth "number". As the "2nd baby boomer"(those who were born 1971-74) will come out of birth age (20-40) soon, the birth "number" of Japan will never increase even if birth "rate" increases a bit. Because the number of women in birth age will decrease a lot. >i think the Japanese government should start giving out allowances for people who have kids The government is already giving about $150 for each kid every month. I don't think this will increase birth rate, though. It's not a matter of money. >do you see the imports of workers(mainly nurses) from countries like Indonesia, Korea, China, etc.? Japan is already inviting nurses and caregivers from Philippines and Indonesia. I think this kind of project will increase in the future. >how do you think Japan will deal with it & what do you think the solution should be? No solution without abandoning humanitarian value
6 :
To me it's obvious that the population of Japan is graying, with less younger people and more older people. And I don't think this is going to change, despite the Japanese government's current system of giving money to families when a new child is born, handing out monthly child allowances, or providing free medical costs for children up to a certain age. It's not just about money, although that is a BIG reason. People's mindsets are changing. Many people just don't want to get married anymore. Or they want to hold off on marriage until later. Or they just can't find Mr. or Ms. Right. This perhaps creates the problem of a shortage of workers. What I think needs to be done is to raise the retirement age (currently 60 years). People are (in general) living longer and healthier than before, and to allow them to work after 60 is one solution to the declining work force. As for the issue of immigration, it's good and it's bad. To be sure, it adds numbers to the work force, but at the expense of the many Japanese who are out of a job or underemployed. My opinion is to limit the number of immigrants, while increasing job-training programs for Japanese people. As for Japan becoming multicultural, I see it happening, but gradually. The number of international marriages is increasing. But not all stay in Japan, of course. Many of the big cities in Japan are already multicultural, but again, it's on a much smaller scale than say, major American cities.
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